Biodun Iginla, BBC News

Biodun Iginla, BBC News
Showing posts with label Christian Democrats (CDU). Show all posts
Showing posts with label Christian Democrats (CDU). Show all posts

Monday, October 29, 2018

Analysis: Angela's ashes: The end of Germany's Angela Merkel

October 30, 2018  02H:34  GMT/UTC/ZULU TIME
BERLIN - Germany’s Angela Merkel said that her fourth term as chancellorwould be her last and that she would step down as leader of the Christian Democrats (CDU), heralding the end of a 13-year era in which she has dominated European politics.
Merkel, who has been CDU chairwoman since 2000 and chancellor since 2005, announced the decision after her party suffered its second regional election setback in as many weeks.
“I have the firm feeling that today the time has come to open a new chapter,” Merkel, looking serious but calm, told reporters in Berlin after a meeting of the CDU’s leadership on Monday.
Merkel, 64, made the announcement a day after Sunday’s vote in the state of Hesse, at which the CDU came first but suffered a slump from the last election there in 2013.
Her authority has already been dented this year by the two election setbacks and a close ally losing his role as leader of her conservatives’ parliamentary group.
Following the CDU’s result in Hesse and dissatisfaction with her coalition, she said: “Firstly, at the next CDU party congress in December in Hamburg, I will not put myself forward again as candidate for the CDU chair.”
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“Secondly, this fourth term is my last as German chancellor. At the federal election in 2021, I will not stand,” she added.
The move sets in motion the process for the CDU to settle on and prepare Merkel’s successor. The euro fell briefly and German government bond yields rose on the news.
Stepping down as CDU chairwoman further undermines Merkel’s authority, as she had previously said the party chair and chancellery should be held by the same person.
Merkel has loomed large on the European stage since 2005, helping guide the EU through the euro zone crisis and opening Germany’s doors to migrants fleeing war in the Middle East in 2015 - a move that still divides the bloc and Germany.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks to participants of the national integration prize at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, October 29, 2018. REUTERS/Hannibal Hanschke
“We are witnessing a continuation of the pattern in place ever since Merkel’s mistakes in the 2015 migration crisis: the gradual but steady erosion of her political power,” said Carsten Nickel, managing director at Teneo, a consultancy.
“Rather than outright instability in Germany and Europe, it simply means a continuation of the current leadership vacuum.”
Monday’s news came as a surprise to CDU party officials, who had expected Merkel to seek re-election as chairwoman at a party congress in Hamburg in early December.
Merkel is under pressure from her Social Democrat coalition partners to deliver more policy results and the center-left party could yet pull out of the government at a mid-term review next year.

SUCCESSION RACE

The shock move starts the race in the CDU to succeed Merkel and raises questions about whether she can stage-manage a smooth exit. Germany’s other leading CDU chancellors, Konrad Adenauer and Helmut Kohl, both had messy ends to their time in office.
German newspapers said the move marked the end of what many saw as an era in the country’s history.
By naming the time of her departure, Merkel had made herself “the driver of events, not the person driven,” the Koelner Stadt-Anzeiger newspaper said.
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“If all goes to plan, Merkel ends her time in office as a historic figure: not just as the first woman in the Chancellery ... but as the first German head of government to leave of her own accord, not by being deposed or in a scandal,” it added.
Merkel’s move will allow a new CDU chairman or chairwoman to build a profile before the next national election and she said CDU party Secretary General Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer and Health Minister Jens Spahn, one of her leading critics, had announced they would seek the party chair.
Party sources said Friedrich Merz, a former parliamentary leader of Merkel’s conservative alliance, would also run.
Armin Laschet, who as conservative premier of the 17 million population state of North Rhine Westphalia, Germany’s largest, would be a frontrunner in any race, also declined to rule himself out. He said only that the party had to decide on its direction before choosing its new leadership.
Migrants reject Mexico offer, press on to U.S.
Merkel’s weakness at home may limit her capacity to lead in the European Union at a time when the bloc is dealing with Brexit, a budget crisis in Italy and the prospect of populist parties making gains at European parliament elections next May.
When Merkel came into office in 2005, George W. Bush was U.S. president, Jacques Chirac was in the Elysee Palace in Paris and Tony Blair was British prime minister.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Angela Merkel will announce bid for fourth term Sunday



by Isabelle Roussel and Biodun Iginla, France24, Berlin

    © AFP/File / by Deborah Cole | Chancellor Angela Merkel is popular among Germans, who see her as a straight-shooter and a safe pair of hands in tumultuous times

    BERLIN - 
    German Chancellor Angela Merkel was expected to announce her bid for re-election Sunday in a move likely to be welcomed in many capitals as a sign of stability following shock poll triumphs for Brexit and Donald Trump.
    After months of feverish speculation about her plans, Merkel is due to hold a news conference at 1800 GMT during a meeting of her conservative Christian Democrats (CDU) and say she will seek a fourth term in the 2017 elections.
    Merkel, 62, has governed Europe's top economic power, which does not have term limits, since 2005.
    Another full four-year term, which pollsters say is likely, would tie the post-war record set by her mentor Helmut Kohl, who presided over the 1989 fall of the Berlin Wall.
    The head of the German Council on Foreign Relations, Daniela Schwarzer, said Merkel's sense of duty had likely shaped her decision.
    "Observing the potential repercussions of Trump's election victory on Europe, I think that the task is even bigger now than it was before the American election and so I would think that she might feel that the job isn't quite done," she told AFP.
    "There's a need to continue leading Europe."
    - Back into her arms -
    Merkel, a pastor's daughter who grew up in communist East Germany, is popular among Germans, who see her as a straight-shooter and a safe pair of hands in tumultuous times.
    But her decision to let in more than one million asylum seekers over the last two years has dented her support.
    It also revived the fortunes of the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany party (AfD), which has harnessed widespread anxiety about migration.
    However observers said the recent seismic shifts in global politics could drive traditionally risk-adverse German voters back into her arms.
    "The society's need for predictability and stability could become so overpowering in the 2017 election year that even the creeping erosion of Merkel's chancellorship won't compromise her success at the polls in the end," news weekly Die Zeit said.
    As US President Barack Obama exits the stage, many observers say Merkel's importance as a defender of Western values will only continue to grow, with some calling her the new "leader of the free world".
    While the globe braces for potentially radical changes in US leadership under Trump, Britain is wrestling with the fallout from its June vote backing withdrawal from the EU and France is facing polls in May that could see far-right candidate Marine Le Pen snatch victory.
    In a further sign of her relative strength, Merkel gathered Obama and the leaders of Britain, France, Spain and Italy at her chancellery Friday for talks on the fight against terrorism, climate change and the strategic threat posed by Russia.
    - Obama endorsement -
    Merkel has long refused to be drawn on her plans for the general election, expected in September or October 2017, saying only that she would make the announcement "at the appropriate time".
    She repeated the line with a smile at a bittersweet farewell news conference in Berlin Thursday with Obama, who praised her as an "outstanding partner" and urged Germans to "appreciate" her.
    "It's up to her whether she wants to stand again... but if I were here and I were German and I had a vote, I might support her," he said.
    Misgivings about Merkel's refugee policy were blamed for a string of state election defeats for the CDU over the last 18 months, and sparked an open revolt by its Bavarian sister party, the CSU, which demanded a strict upper limit on incoming asylum-seekers.
    A poll released Friday showed that Merkel's conservatives would draw 32 percent of the vote if the election were held this weekend, down 10 points from the last national election in 2013.
    The Social Democrats (SPD), junior partners in Merkel's right-left ruling coalition, were a distant second with 23 percent, followed by the opposition Greens with 13 percent.
    The AfD scored 12 percent, according to independent opinion research institute Infratest dimap.
    It is still unclear who will carry the SPD's banner into the race, with party leader Sigmar Gabriel potentially facing a challenge from European Parliament President Martin Schulz.