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WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama will be looking for
signs from China's leader at their upcoming meeting that Beijing is
ready to address its reported high-tech spying, which the White House
sees as a top threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
The
talks between Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping will be followed
by a July meeting between U.S. and Chinese officials focusing on
cyberespionage, along with other strategic and economic issues.
Secretary of State John Kerry announced the U.S.-China meetings when he
visited Beijing in April.
The summit Friday
and Saturday at a California estate also is aimed at establishing
personal ties between Obama and Xi as relations between the two global
powers grow increasingly complex.
Obama needs
Xi's help in stemming nuclear threats from North Korea and Iran,
combating the violence in Syria, and continuing the U.S. economic
recovery.
The meeting at the 200-acre
Sunnylands estate once owned by late publishing tycoon Walter Annenberg
is their first since Xi took power in March. The talks also are coming
months before the leaders originally had planned to meet, underscoring
growing concern in both countries about potential fractures in the
relationship.
Cybersecurity is likely to be
the prickliest issue, given new reports on the extent and regularity of
China's cyberhacking and increasing interest in Congress about how the
U.S. can punish Beijing for its actions.
The
Chinese government denies it engages in such spying against the U.S. But
analysts say Beijing has started to indicate some willingness to
address the problem during private talks with Kerry, national security
adviser Tom Donilon and others.
The Chinese
have been "much more positive in private meetings," James Lewis, a
cybersecurity expert and former State Department official. The goal
during Obama's meeting, Lewis said, will be to "test whether the Chinese
have really moved to a better position where they want to engage."
A
senior Obama administration official said that in recent talks, the
Chinese seem to be less dismissive of U.S. concerns about cyberattacks,
but that the matter would be not settled in one meeting.
Despite
subtle signs of progress in private talks, security analysts say there
is little evidence that Chinese-based hacking has eased.
"If
the Chinese government wanted to signal to the United States that it
wanted to curb its activity, the U.S. government would see it and we
would see it," said Richard Bejtlich, chief security officer at the
U.S.-based firm Mandiant. "But it's the same as it's always been."
Defense
Secretary Chuck Hagel said Saturday at a security conference in
Singapore that the U.S. has expressed its concerns about "the growing
threat of cyberintrusions, some of which appear to be tied to the
Chinese government and military."
Obama and Xi
were not expected to meet until September, on the sidelines of an
international economic summit in St. Petersburg, Russia. But the U.S saw
signs that Xi was able to organize his government more quickly than
previous Chinese leaders, according to the administration official, and
that led the U.S. to conclude that it was best for Obama to meet Xi as
early as possible.
The official insisted on anonymity in order to discuss internal administration discussions.
The
White House hopes the relaxed setting at Sunnylands will lend itself to
a more direct and free-flowing discussion. The presidents' wives will
join them at the estate.
"The meeting
represents a huge investment by both sides in the relationship and the
health of the relationship," said Nina Hachigian, a China expert at the
Center for American Progress. "This is viewed as extremely special by
the Chinese side."
The logistics of Xi's visit
have been negotiated intensely, as is the case with all meetings
between the U.S. and China. The Chinese government often pushes for
limited media access, though the White House said Friday that U.S.
officials were working to arrange an opportunity for reporters to ask
questions of the two leaders at the end of the summit.
President
George W. Bush held a somewhat similar meeting in 2002 when he hosted
then-Chinese President Jiang Zemin at Bush's ranch in Crawford, Texas.
There's
little expectation the summit will result in any concrete policy
decisions. But Kurt Campbell, who until recently served as assistant
secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, said the
discussions on both cybersecurity and North Korea have a "real potential
for progress, not because of some enormous good will, but because China
is badly positioned on both."
In a shift from
his predecessor, Xi has taken a stern tone with North Korea. He has
told the North to return to nuclear talks with the U.S. and other world
powers, and has warned its young leader that no country "should be
allowed to throw a region and even the whole world into chaos for
selfish gain."
The U.S. long has pushed China
to take more aggressive action against North Korea and welcomed Xi's
comments. China is the North's strongest ally and biggest trading
partner.
Financial issues also are expected to
be a prominent topic in the talks between the leaders of the world's
largest economies. Xi probably will press China's claims of business
discrimination in the U.S. market.
Xi is
likely to express deep discomfort over Washington's shifting of military
assets to Asia and renewed emphasis on alliances with other countries
within the region. China sees the strategy, referred to by Obama as his
Asia "pivot," as an effort to contain Beijing's rising power.
At
the Singapore conference, a Chinese military leader questioned the
expanded U.S. role in the Pacific after Hagel said he hoped for better
military ties between the two countries.
Xi
and Obama first met last year when Xi, then vice president, visited the
White House. Xi has a warm relationship with Vice President Joe Biden
after their travels together throughout China during Biden's 2011 visit.
Xi
has deeper ties to the U.S. than his predecessors. He's visited the
country frequently, and stays in contact with families he stayed with in
Muscatine, Iowa, while a visiting provincial official in 1985. His
daughter attended Harvard.
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